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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at Gold Star DTR Store Championship

decks
2 (14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 6-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
70.5% avg ELO +11.0 per match
expected value
62.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1393 · median 1393 · range 1374–1411 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
996 Q1 1351 Q3 1429 1550
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Genbu 21.4% 0
Fire Arcane 14.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.8% +2.9
Fire Aggro 7.1% 0
Fire Crux Mage 7.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 63.2% +12.6
Fire Firebloom Burn 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.0% +15.9
Fire Suzaku 7.1% 0
Water Allies 7.1% 0
Water Fractal 7.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 61.2% +10.8
Water Neos 7.1% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 7.1% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Heavenly Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Winbless Lookout +1.00 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Spellward Scepter -1.00 0 1 0
Mastermind Scheme -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Scout the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Tempest Downfall +1.00 1 0 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Censer of Restful Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Penumbral Waltz -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/34706/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike