Water AlliesTier 1
at DTR店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
5-1-0
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
73.4%
avg ELO +12.5 per match
expected value
56.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1185
· median 1185
· range 1088–1282
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1210
Q3 1331
1469
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Astra Ranger | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.1 |
| Water Genbu | 14.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.3% | +16.6 |
| Wind Allies | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +11.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
