← ⛵️ Flagship DTR Store Championships
Water Astra RangerTier 2
at ⛵️ Flagship DTR Store Championships
decks
2
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
1-7-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.1%
avg ELO -5.5 per match
expected value
41.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1200
· median 1200
· range 1149–1252
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1091
Q1 1206
Q3 1380
1563
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 21.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.5% | -4.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.1% | -10.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -6.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
