← Grand Archive Store Champions
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Store Champions.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Neos | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 100.0% | 74.0% | 60.8% | 59.0% | 1478 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 59.5% | 57.0% | 55.9% | 1293 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 62.5% | 56.0% | 56.2% | 55.0% | 1253 | — |
| 4 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 53.5% | 54.8% | 53.9% | 1312 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 12.5% | 6 | 50.0% | 52.5% | 52.2% | 53.0% | 1218 | — |
| 6 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.8% | 52.0% | 52.6% | 1135 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 43.4% | 51.4% | 52.6% | 1143 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 46.0% | 48.9% | 45.8% | 1392 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 33.3% | 45.5% | 48.0% | 49.2% | 1162 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Fractal | 4 | 25.0% | 8 | 31.2% | 40.4% | 47.7% | 48.2% | 1209 | — |
| 11 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 12.5% | 5 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 38.3% | 40.0% | 1180 | ↓ low |