← Yeti Webcam Weekly 10/18/2025
Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 10/18/2025
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.9%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1425
· median 1425
· range 1425–1425
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1144
Q1 1209
Q3 1436
1652
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Suited | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
