← Yeti Webcam Weekly 10/18/2025
Water AetherwingTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 10/18/2025
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.8%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1369
· median 1369
· range 1189–1548
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1144
Q1 1209
Q3 1436
1652
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Suited | 9.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.3% | -1.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Slimes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
