Fire ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Loot Box Store Championship
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
3-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.6%
avg ELO +7.2 per match
expected value
60.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1569
· median 1569
· range 1569–1569
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1010
Q1 1122
Q3 1234
1569
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Astra Ranger | 20.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.3 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Water Crux Mage | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Shadowstrike decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
