Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at CardArt DTR Store Champs
decks
3
(9.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
7-8-0
overall winrate
46.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.9%
avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
47.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1400
· median 1386
· range 1368–1445
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1195
Q3 1452
1678
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suzaku | 9.4% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 32.4% | -13.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -1.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 61.5% | +8.6 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +7.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.4% | +6.2 |
| Fire Suited | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.1 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
