← GAMERSSHOP DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Fire AggroTier 2
at GAMERSSHOP DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.3%
avg ELO +3.3 per match
expected value
48.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1421
· median 1421
· range 1346–1496
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1114
Q1 1260
Q3 1481
1630
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 50.6% | +0.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +16.9 |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.5 |
| Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.6 |
| Water Neos | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
