← GAMERSSHOP DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at GAMERSSHOP DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
3
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
11-2-0
overall winrate
84.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
71.4%
avg ELO +8.9 per match
expected value
59.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1445
· median 1445
· range 1331–1559
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1114
Q1 1260
Q3 1481
1630
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.4% | +5.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.8 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.5% | +7.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
