← GAMERSSHOP MAGINHAWA DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GAMERSSHOP MAGINHAWA DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 80.0% | 52.8% | 55.0% | 50.2% | 1630 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 48.5% | 55.0% | 51.5% | 1487 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 9.1% | 10 | 70.0% | 55.3% | 53.8% | 51.1% | 1472 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 4.5% | 4 | 37.5% | 45.6% | 52.9% | 52.8% | 1234 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 61.6% | 52.5% | 55.4% | 1241 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 80.0% | 64.4% | 51.1% | 50.7% | 1479 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 53.6% | 51.1% | 54.1% | 1269 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Suited | 4 | 18.2% | 17 | 52.9% | 48.8% | 50.6% | 49.9% | 1340 | — |
| 9 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 57.6% | 50.0% | 56.2% | 1161 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 9.1% | 7 | 50.0% | 38.1% | 48.8% | 45.6% | 1458 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 50.0% | 49.8% | 48.3% | 48.7% | 1400 | — |
| 12 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 52.4% | 47.5% | 51.7% | 1221 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | 49.5% | 1280 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Allies | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 38.8% | 47.1% | 45.4% | 1408 | ↑ top |
| 15 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 52.5% | 46.7% | 50.1% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Neos | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 30.0% | 46.4% | 44.4% | 47.2% | 1331 | — |
| 17 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 4.5% | 4 | 0.0% | 32.6% | 36.2% | 40.8% | 1074 | ↓ low |