← Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Neos | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.2% | 55.0% | 50.9% | 1226 | — |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 25.0% | 6 | 66.7% | 51.7% | 54.2% | 50.7% | 1187 | — |
| 3 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.5% | 50.0% | 50.1% | 1243 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Exia | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.2% | 47.8% | 49.7% | 1188 | — |
| 5 | Slimes | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.7% | 46.7% | 49.4% | 1204 | — |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.7% | 46.7% | 49.4% | 1179 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 47.2% | 41.1% | 48.3% | 1244 | ↑ top |