← GA Middle East Weekly DTR # 13
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly DTR # 13.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 100.0% | 51.3% | 60.0% | 50.8% | 1367 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 20.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 51.4% | 55.0% | 50.6% | 1325 | — |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 55.0% | 50.0% | 1448 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 20.0% | 6 | 58.3% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 50.0% | 1297 | — |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.8% | 45.0% | 49.8% | 1231 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.8% | 45.0% | 49.8% | 1134 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 16.7% | 48.8% | 41.1% | 49.3% | 1425 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Nico | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 48.7% | 40.0% | 49.3% | 1186 | ↓ low |