← Grand Archive TCG Store Championship in GiK
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship in GiK.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 75.0% | 53.5% | 59.0% | 53.0% | 1468 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 12.5% | 12 | 79.2% | 73.3% | 58.9% | 58.7% | 1280 | — |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 6.2% | 7 | 71.4% | 56.1% | 57.7% | 52.6% | 1346 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 59.7% | 52.5% | 52.4% | 1194 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.8% | 52.0% | 52.2% | 1268 | — |
| 6 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.3% | 48.0% | 49.5% | 1371 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 37.5% | 46.0% | 48.0% | 48.8% | 1293 | — |
| 8 | Wind Umbra Guardian | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 48.3% | 48.0% | 47.8% | 1330 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Suited | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 42.1% | 46.7% | 45.5% | 1350 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 46.3% | 45.3% | 46.5% | 1356 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 46.6% | 44.0% | 47.7% | 1096 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 42.5% | 44.0% | 45.8% | 1139 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Genbu | 2 | 12.5% | 7 | 21.4% | 37.1% | 43.3% | 45.1% | 1263 | — |
| 14 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 20.8% | 40.0% | 38.3% | 1244 | — |