← Distorted Reflections Store Champs!
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Distorted Reflections Store Champs!.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Fractal | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 58.1% | 56.7% | 55.2% | 1358 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Allies | 2 | 15.4% | 8 | 75.0% | 59.1% | 55.6% | 52.7% | 1336 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 55.1% | 53.3% | 50.6% | 1349 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 39.3% | 52.0% | 45.8% | 1262 | — |
| 5 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.2% | 50.7% | 51.5% | 1282 | — |
| 6 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 62.5% | 55.6% | 50.0% | 50.5% | 1278 | — |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 15.4% | 4 | 50.0% | 59.8% | 47.5% | 52.7% | 1175 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Exia | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 25.0% | 46.4% | 44.0% | 47.2% | 1109 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 15.4% | 5 | 10.0% | 35.1% | 40.8% | 43.9% | 1246 | — |
| 10 | Wind Diana | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 36.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | 978 | ↓ low |