← Yeti Webcam Weekly 11/02/2025
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 11/02/2025
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.9%
avg ELO -0.0 per match
expected value
51.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1384
· median 1384
· range 1302–1466
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1206
Q1 1234
Q3 1388
1548
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
