← Yeti Webcam Weekly 11/02/2025
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 11/02/2025
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.2%
avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
55.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1298
· median 1298
· range 1234–1362
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1206
Q1 1234
Q3 1388
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
