← trinity card capital presents DTR store championship
Water FractalTier 2
at trinity card capital presents DTR store championship
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.3%
avg ELO -11.7 per match
expected value
35.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1127
· median 1127
· range 1127–1127
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1091
Q1 1127
Q3 1272
1382
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.8% | -11.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Wind Neos | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Fractal decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
