← trinity card capital presents DTR store championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at trinity card capital presents DTR store championship
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.0%
avg ELO +3.4 per match
expected value
55.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1237
· median 1237
· range 1091–1382
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1091
Q1 1127
Q3 1272
1382
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 51.4% | +0.9 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.2% | +11.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
