Revelfest Box Tournament

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Suited	Tier 2	2	22.2%	2-4-0	33.3%	46.7%	45.8%	48.6%	1307	—
2		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	1	11.1%	4-0-0	100.0%	55.4%	60.0%	52.2%	1393	↑ top
3		Fire Tera Cleric	Tier 2	1	11.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.2%	46.7%	49.8%	1208	↓ low
4		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.9%	53.3%	51.1%	1223	↓ low
5		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	49.1%	40.0%	49.7%	1122	↓ low
6		Water Tera Mage	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	1270	—
7		Wind Neos	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	47.4%	50.0%	48.9%	1414	↑ top
8		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	1	11.1%	3-1-0	75.0%	51.9%	56.0%	50.9%	1338	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Suited 2 decks · 22.2%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Tera Cleric 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 11.1%