Fire SuitedTier 2
at Revelfest Box Tournament
decks
2
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.7%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
45.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1307
· median 1307
· range 1191–1423
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1122
Q1 1208
Q3 1393
1423
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 46.2% | -3.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Tera Mage | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suited decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
