← Distorted Reflections Store Championships
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Distorted Reflections Store Championships
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.4%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1205
· median 1205
· range 1205–1205
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
971
Q1 1116
Q3 1253
1560
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.8 |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +14.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
