← Distorted Reflections Store Championships
Fire OblationTier 1
at Distorted Reflections Store Championships
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
6-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.3%
avg ELO +6.0 per match
expected value
63.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1560
· median 1560
· range 1560–1560
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
971
Q1 1116
Q3 1253
1560
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.2% | +6.0 |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.3% | +6.1 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
