← HIDEOUT DTR Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at HIDEOUT DTR Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 100.0% | 61.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | 1460 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 100.0% | 64.6% | 60.0% | 57.2% | 1320 | — |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 1316 | — |
| 4 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 66.7% | 58.7% | 56.0% | 57.4% | 1267 | — |
| 5 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.6% | 56.0% | 52.4% | 1404 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 7.7% | 6 | 66.7% | 62.9% | 55.0% | 55.0% | 1303 | — |
| 7 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 66.7% | 55.2% | 53.3% | 52.4% | 1258 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 7.7% | 6 | 66.7% | 63.6% | 53.3% | 55.0% | 1176 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 66.7% | 49.5% | 50.0% | 46.5% | 1313 | — |
| 10 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 7.7% | 6 | 50.0% | 56.9% | 50.0% | 52.6% | 1253 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Aetherwing | 3 | 11.5% | 9 | 44.4% | 43.5% | 47.4% | 46.4% | 1375 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Exia | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 33.3% | 45.2% | 46.7% | 47.8% | 1376 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Water Fractal | 1 | 3.8% | 2 | 50.0% | 44.5% | 46.7% | 44.3% | 1405 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.6% | 45.0% | 46.6% | 1305 | — |
| 15 | Fire Neos | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 16.7% | 36.8% | 42.5% | 42.6% | 1208 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Neos Tonoris | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 16.7% | 31.3% | 42.5% | 40.6% | 1428 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.8% | 40.0% | 44.6% | 1227 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Diao Chan | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 0.0% | 35.1% | 40.0% | 43.1% | 1139 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Fire Suited | 1 | 3.8% | 2 | 0.0% | 34.3% | 40.0% | 40.7% | 1205 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 3.8% | 2 | 0.0% | 34.9% | 40.0% | 40.2% | 1334 | — |
| 21 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 3.8% | 2 | 0.0% | 39.1% | 40.0% | 42.6% | 1187 | ↓ low |