← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #16
Water Tera MageTier 1
at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #16
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
2-1-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1367
· median 1367
· range 1367–1367
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1134
Q1 1224
Q3 1382
1448
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Wind Arcane | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
