GA Middle East Weekly DTR #16

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-1-1	50.0%	49.4%	50.0%	49.7%	1313	—
2		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	50.0%	46.7%	50.0%	1448	↑ top
3		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	50.2%	53.3%	50.1%	1231	↓ low
4		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	48.3%	40.0%	49.2%	1203	↓ low
5		Water Tera Mage	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	49.8%	53.3%	49.9%	1367	↑ top
6		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-1-1	50.0%	50.3%	50.0%	50.1%	1134	↓ low
7		Wind Arcane	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-0-1	83.3%	51.6%	56.7%	50.7%	1302	—
8		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-1-1	50.0%	50.5%	50.0%	50.2%	1425	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 12.5%