DTR Season Revelfest Tourney #1

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	2	18.2%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.2%	50.0%	50.1%	1243	↓ low
2		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	9.1%	3-0-0	100.0%	52.0%	60.0%	50.9%	1323	↑ top
3		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-1-0	0.0%	49.0%	40.0%	49.0%	1207	↓ low
4		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-1-0	0.0%	48.9%	40.0%	48.9%	1367	↑ top
5		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.9%	40.0%	49.4%	1134	↓ low
6		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.5%	45.0%	49.6%	1302	—
7		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	1	9.1%	2-1-0	66.7%	50.2%	53.3%	50.1%	1313	—
8		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	9.1%	2-1-0	66.7%	50.2%	53.3%	50.1%	1346	↑ top
9		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	1	9.1%	1-0-0	100.0%	51.1%	60.0%	51.1%	1425	↑ top
10		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	1	9.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.4%	50.0%	50.0%	1222	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 18.2%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 9.1%