DTR Season Revelfest Tourney #3

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.8%	40.0%	49.3%	1256	↓ low
2		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	51.3%	53.3%	50.6%	1224	↓ low
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-0-1	83.3%	51.5%	56.7%	50.7%	1317	—
4		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	51.3%	53.3%	50.6%	1309	—
5		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.5%	46.7%	49.8%	1293	↓ low
6		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.3%	40.0%	49.0%	1346	—
7		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.0%	46.7%	49.5%	1353	—
8		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-0-1	83.3%	50.0%	56.7%	50.0%	1617	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 12.5%