← DTR Season Revelfest Tourney #7
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at DTR Season Revelfest Tourney #7
decks
2
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.0%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1245
· median 1245
· range 1239–1250
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1134
Q1 1206
Q3 1353
1417
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 22.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
