← Grand Archive TCG - Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
Fire Umbra RangerTier 1
at Grand Archive TCG - Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
2-3-3
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
50.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1206
· median 1206
· range 1169–1244
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1085
Q1 1161
Q3 1231
1289
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.8 |
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 8.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.4% | -1.6 |
| Slimes | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.7% | -1.2 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
