Fire ArcaneTier 1
at Nowy Sezon
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-1-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.3%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
55.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1096
· median 1096
· range 1096–1096
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1161
Q3 1224
1430
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 20.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 53.9% | +3.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Wind Neos | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
