← GA Middle East Weekly PTM #1

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly PTM #1. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Seiryuu 1 11.1% 3 100.0% 51.6% 60.0% 50.8% 1313
2 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 11.1% 3 66.7% 51.4% 55.0% 50.8% 1231 ↓ low
3 Wind Razorgale 1 11.1% 3 50.0% 49.8% 50.0% 49.9% 1313
4 Water Crux Assassin 1 11.1% 2 50.0% 50.1% 50.0% 50.1% 1372 ↑ top
5 Wind Astra Cleric 1 11.1% 2 50.0% 51.0% 50.0% 51.0% 1131 ↓ low
6 Wind Umbra Ranger 1 11.1% 2 25.0% 49.2% 45.0% 49.5% 1425 ↑ top
7 Water Allies 2 22.2% 4 25.0% 47.8% 43.3% 48.9% 1311
8 Wind Wakeup Combo 1 11.1% 1 0.0% 49.2% 40.0% 49.2% 1222 ↓ low