Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at DeckaDice QLD PTM Regionals
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.3%
avg ELO -5.6 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1102
· median 1102
· range 1102–1102
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1129
Q3 1343
1502
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
