← Game Kastle Santa Clara Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Game Kastle Santa Clara Store Championship
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.8%
avg ELO -6.5 per match
expected value
42.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1407
· median 1407
· range 1407–1407
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1192
Q1 1320
Q3 1494
1678
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.5 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
