← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 12/18/2025
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 12/18/2025.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 3.0% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.3% | 56.7% | 50.8% | 1179 | ↓ low |
| 2 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 6.1% | 8 | 81.2% | 51.3% | 55.7% | 50.3% | 1460 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 3.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 51.4% | 55.6% | 50.5% | 1328 | — |
| 4 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 3.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 51.5% | 53.3% | 50.6% | 1115 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 6.1% | 7 | 64.3% | 49.5% | 52.8% | 49.7% | 1433 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Exia | 1 | 3.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.6% | 51.1% | 50.3% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 12.1% | 14 | 53.6% | 50.8% | 50.8% | 50.3% | 1329 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 3.0% | 2 | 50.0% | 49.9% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1400 | — |
| 9 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 3.0% | 2 | 50.0% | 50.2% | 50.0% | 50.1% | 1156 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Genbu | 2 | 6.1% | 5 | 70.0% | 50.4% | 50.0% | 49.8% | 1368 | — |
| 11 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 3.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 51.1% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Umbra Alice | 2 | 6.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 49.1% | 50.0% | 49.8% | 1458 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 3.0% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.5% | 48.6% | 49.8% | 1517 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Fire Oblation | 2 | 6.1% | 8 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | 50.0% | 1366 | — |
| 15 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.2% | 45.0% | 50.1% | 1206 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Astra Diana | 1 | 3.0% | 2 | 25.0% | 49.5% | 45.0% | 49.7% | 1376 | — |
| 17 | Water Allies | 1 | 3.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.4% | 42.9% | 49.3% | 1353 | — |
| 18 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 3.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.8% | 42.9% | 49.2% | 1463 | ↑ top |
| 19 | Wind Crux Merlin | 1 | 3.0% | 3 | 16.7% | 49.0% | 42.5% | 49.5% | 1381 | — |
| 20 | Water Fractal | 1 | 3.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 48.7% | 40.0% | 48.7% | 1432 | ↑ top |
| 21 | Water Zander | 1 | 3.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 48.7% | 40.0% | 49.2% | 1100 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Wind Allies | 1 | 3.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 47.9% | 40.0% | 48.7% | 1560 | ↑ top |
| 23 | Wind Chess | 1 | 3.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 49.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | 1376 | — |
| 24 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 3.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 48.3% | 40.0% | 49.0% | 1197 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Wind Umbra Guardian | 1 | 3.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 49.2% | 40.0% | 49.5% | 1265 | ↓ low |