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Water GenbuTier 1

at RWT Collective - PTM Store Champs

decks
1 (5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.4% avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
53.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1470 · median 1470 · range 1470–1470 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1110 Q1 1305 Q3 1473 1593
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Ravishing Mill 15.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.7% +5.9
Wind Seiryuu 15.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 47.4% -4.1
Fire Crux Mage 10.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.7% +2.7
Fire Umbra Guardian 10.0% 0
Fire Aetherwing 5.0% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 5.0% 0
Fire Slimes 5.0% 0
Fire Suzaku 5.0% 0
Water Aetherwing 5.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.9% -17.8
Wind Allies 5.0% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 5.0% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 5.0% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.1% +14.5
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/41499/archetypes/Water Genbu