← Store Championship PTM season - Kamenn Enterprise
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Store Championship PTM season - Kamenn Enterprise
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
4-5-3
overall winrate
45.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.4%
avg ELO -1.5 per match
expected value
50.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1229
· median 1229
· range 1105–1352
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
999
Q1 1165
Q3 1321
1443
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +1.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 38.0% | -9.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
