← VGMX Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at VGMX Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
2
(9.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
7-2-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.0%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
54.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1327
· median 1327
· range 1305–1349
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1114
Q3 1258
1432
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.4% | -23.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.2% | +6.9 |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.3% | -20.3 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
