← GG NPHX Grand Archive Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GG NPHX Grand Archive Phantom Monarchs Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 100.0% | 68.9% | 60.0% | 56.8% | 1562 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 63.9% | 55.0% | 55.5% | 1292 | — |
| 3 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 64.5% | 55.0% | 55.8% | 1362 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 62.5% | 65.7% | 52.5% | 56.3% | 1194 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 62.5% | 47.1% | 52.5% | 48.9% | 1333 | — |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 58.5% | 52.0% | 53.1% | 1262 | — |
| 7 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 44.9% | 50.0% | 48.0% | 1368 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Allies | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 40.7% | 50.0% | 46.3% | 1597 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 40.7% | 50.0% | 46.3% | 1597 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.4% | 45.0% | 45.8% | 1183 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Arisanna | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 43.3% | 45.0% | 47.3% | 1046 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Genbu | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 42.1% | 44.0% | 47.2% | 1147 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Wind Jin | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 0.0% | 30.4% | 40.0% | 42.9% | 1250 | — |