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Fire OblationTier 2

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decks
2 (11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 3-5-0
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.5% avg ELO +1.7 per match
expected value
47.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1306 · median 1306 · range 1300–1312 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002 Q1 1204 Q3 1459 1569
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Slimes 11.8% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 11.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.1% +0.1
Arcane 5.9% 0
Fire Crux Mage 5.9% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.9% 0
Water Fractal 5.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.3% -7.5
Water Genbu 5.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.0% -6.4
Water Ravishing Mill 5.9% 0
Water Tera Mage 5.9% 0
Wind Allies 5.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.3% +16.5
Wind Astra Cleric 5.9% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 5.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.5% -5.6
Wind Razorgale 5.9% 0
Wind Seiryuu 5.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 58.3% +8.0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Oblation decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/41734/archetypes/Fire Oblation