← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 1/8/2026

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 1/8/2026. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Crux Mage 1 2.4% 4 100.0% 50.3% 60.0% 50.1% 1563 ↑ top
2 Fire Oblation 2 4.9% 8 75.0% 51.6% 58.2% 50.7% 1440 ↑ top
3 Water Aetherwing 1 2.4% 4 75.0% 49.2% 57.1% 49.8% 1548 ↑ top
4 Fire Umbra Alice 1 2.4% 2 75.0% 50.0% 56.2% 50.0% 1528 ↑ top
5 Wind Shadowstrike 5 12.2% 15 63.3% 50.6% 54.5% 50.2% 1327
6 Wind Silvie 1 2.4% 2 50.0% 50.9% 53.3% 50.7% 1100 ↓ low
7 Water Allies 2 4.9% 7 71.4% 50.2% 52.9% 50.1% 1386 ↑ top
8 Fire Aggro 2 4.9% 7 71.4% 51.6% 51.4% 50.4% 1421 ↑ top
9 Fire Tera Diao Chan 1 2.4% 4 50.0% 50.0% 51.2% 50.1% 1328
10 Fire Aetherwing 3 7.3% 12 50.0% 50.2% 50.5% 50.0% 1285
11 Fire Exia 2 4.9% 6 50.0% 50.5% 50.0% 50.3% 1284
12 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 2.4% 4 75.0% 50.8% 48.9% 49.8% 1448 ↑ top
13 Fire Umbra Ranger 1 2.4% 4 50.0% 49.6% 48.8% 49.9% 1215 ↓ low
14 Fire Chess 1 2.4% 4 50.0% 50.5% 48.3% 50.2% 1352
15 Wind Seiryuu 3 7.3% 9 50.0% 50.0% 47.4% 49.8% 1334
16 Water Crux Assassin 1 2.4% 2 25.0% 50.0% 46.7% 50.0% 1427 ↑ top
17 Water Umbra Alice 1 2.4% 3 16.7% 49.1% 45.6% 49.7% 1388 ↑ top
18 Fire Umbra Diana 2 4.9% 6 33.3% 50.0% 45.0% 49.8% 1358
19 Fire Neos 1 2.4% 4 50.0% 49.1% 44.4% 49.2% 1426 ↑ top
20 Slimes 2 4.9% 5 20.0% 49.1% 44.3% 49.7% 1163 ↓ low
21 Fire Umbra Guardian 1 2.4% 3 33.3% 49.3% 44.0% 49.4% 1369
22 Wind Umbra Ciel 1 2.4% 4 25.0% 48.8% 42.5% 49.3% 1265 ↓ low
23 Fire Firebloom Burn 2 4.9% 4 12.5% 49.7% 41.0% 50.0% 1136 ↓ low
24 Fire Arcane 1 2.4% 2 0.0% 48.8% 40.0% 49.3% 1201 ↓ low
25 Fire Umbra Ciel 1 2.4% 2 0.0% 48.9% 40.0% 49.3% 1164 ↓ low
26 Wind Astra Cleric 1 2.4% 2 0.0% 48.7% 40.0% 49.2% 1346
27 Wind Diana 1 2.4% 3 0.0% 49.2% 40.0% 49.6% 1156 ↓ low