← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 1/15/2026
Water Astra RangerTier 2
at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 1/15/2026
decks
1
(3.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-2-2
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
45.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1220
· median 1220
· range 1220–1220
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1177
Q3 1376
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 3.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neos | 3.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Slimes | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
