← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 1/29/2026
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 1/29/2026
decks
3
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-5-1
overall winrate
38.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.6%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
48.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1264
· median 1219
· range 1164–1408
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1197
Q3 1413
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 7.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.4% | -1.5 |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Water Fractal | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Wind Neos | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
