← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 1/29/2026
Water Crux AssassinTier 2
at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 1/29/2026
decks
1
(3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.2%
avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1170
· median 1170
· range 1170–1170
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1197
Q3 1413
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
