Water Umbra RangerTier 2
at Ascent Worlds Team Standard
decks
9
(3.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
0
0-0-0
overall winrate
—
ELO-adjusted winrate
—
avg ELO — per match
expected value
—
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
—
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1337
· median 1349
· range 1141–1632
(9 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1187
Q3 1415
1736
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 19.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 12.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 11.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tonoris | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Water Umbra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
