Ascent Worlds Team Standard

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Allies	Tier 1	50	19.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1317	—
2		Fire Erupting	Tier 1	32	12.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1306	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	30	11.6%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1278	—
4		Water Allies	Tier 1	30	11.6%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1303	—
5		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	21	8.1%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1332	—
6		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	19	7.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1343	—
7		Fire Arcane	Tier 1	14	5.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1318	—
8		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	12	4.7%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1307	—
9		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	11	4.3%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1289	—
10		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	9	3.5%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1337	—
11		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	4	1.6%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1258	—
12		Water Neos Tonoris	Tier 2	4	1.6%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1448	↑ top
13		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	3	1.2%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1314	—
14		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	3	1.2%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1320	—
15		Wind Crux Mage	Tier 2	3	1.2%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1434	↑ top
16		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	3	1.2%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1324	—
17		Water Arcane	Tier 2	2	0.8%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1291	—
18		Water Neos	Tier 2	2	0.8%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1301	—
19		Water Umbra Diana	Tier 2	2	0.8%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1324	—
20		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 2	1	0.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1302	—
21		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	0.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1323	—
22		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	0.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1021	↓ low
23		Fire Tera Tamer	Tier 2	1	0.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1197	↓ low
24		Water Tonoris	Tier 2	1	0.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1129	↓ low
25		Water Zander	Tier 2	1	0.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1052	↓ low
26		Wind Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	0.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1162	↓ low
27		Wind Neos Tonoris	Tier 2	1	0.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1200	↓ low
28		Wind Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	0.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1199	↓ low
29		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	0.4%	0-0-0	—	—	—	—	1202	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Allies 50 decks · 19.4%
• Fire Erupting 32 decks · 12.4%
• Fire Aggro 30 decks · 11.6%
• Water Allies 30 decks · 11.6%
• Water Luxem Assassin 21 decks · 8.1%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 19 decks · 7.4%
• Fire Arcane 14 decks · 5.4%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 12 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 11 decks · 4.3%
• Water Umbra Ranger 9 decks · 3.5%
• Water Crux Mage 4 decks · 1.6%
• Water Neos Tonoris 4 decks · 1.6%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 3 decks · 1.2%
• Wind Arcane 3 decks · 1.2%
• Wind Crux Mage 3 decks · 1.2%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 1.2%
• Water Arcane 2 decks · 0.8%
• Water Neos 2 decks · 0.8%
• Water Umbra Diana 2 decks · 0.8%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 0.4%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 0.4%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 0.4%
• Fire Tera Tamer 1 deck · 0.4%
• Water Tonoris 1 deck · 0.4%
• Water Zander 1 deck · 0.4%
• Wind Crux Merlin 1 deck · 0.4%
• Wind Neos Tonoris 1 deck · 0.4%
• Wind Tera Silvie 1 deck · 0.4%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 0.4%