← IKI Store Championship PTM Season
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at IKI Store Championship PTM Season
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
33.7%
avg ELO -9.4 per match
expected value
50.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1350
· median 1350
· range 1350–1350
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1032
Q1 1191
Q3 1389
1446
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 17.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 33.5% | -15.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.9% | -25.7 |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
