← SGCCC Phantom Monarchs season Store Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at SGCCC Phantom Monarchs season Store Championship
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-4-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
50.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1302
· median 1302
· range 1240–1364
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1022
Q1 1182
Q3 1321
1433
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.0% | +12.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.8% | +6.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.7% | -7.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -16.9 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.1% | -6.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
