← Hans Arena Store Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at Hans Arena Store Championship
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.7%
avg ELO -3.9 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1571
· median 1571
· range 1571–1571
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1238
Q3 1433
1571
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 18.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.3% | -9.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.3% | -23.5 |
| Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
