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Fire AetherwingTier 2

at Webway PTM Store Championship

decks
1 (4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.6% avg ELO -2.6 per match
expected value
45.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1217 · median 1217 · range 1217–1217 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1064 Q1 1163 Q3 1343 1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Firebloom Burn 9.1% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.6% -11.9
Wind Shadowstrike 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.9% -5.0
Arcane 4.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.3% +10.0
Fire Crux Mage 4.5% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.5% 0
Fire Seiryuu 4.5% 0
Fire Suzaku 4.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.0% +12.8
Fire Tera Cleric 4.5% 0
Horse and Taxes 4.5% 0
Water Crux Assassin 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.3% -18.7
Water Genbu 4.5% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 4.5% 0
Water Penguin Mill 4.5% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 4.5% 0
Water Zander 4.5% 0
Wind Seiryuu 4.5% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 4.5% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/42150/archetypes/Fire Aetherwing